[Lmresearch] New report--Unfulfilled Promise: The Dimensions and Characteristics of Philadelphia’s Dropout Crisis, 2000–2005

[Russell W. Rumberger]

 UC Linguistic Minority Research Institute

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*Unfulfilled Promise:
The Dimensions and Characteristics of Philadelphia’s Dropout Crisis, 
2000–2005
by Ruth Curran Neild and Robert Balfanz*

This report uses a unique set of data obtained from the Kids Integrated 
Data System (KIDS), which is housed at the University of Pennsylvania’s 
Cartographic Modeling Laboratory. The KIDS system merges 
individual-level data on young people from the School District of 
Philadelphia and the city’s social service agencies, including the 
Department of Public Health, the Department of Human Services, and the 
Office of Emergency Shelter and Services. The resulting de-identified 
data allow us to follow cohorts of students over multiple years, examining
their educational outcomes as well as the predictors of graduation and 
dropout.

Highlights:

    * For cohorts of first-time freshmen who form the Classes of 2000
      through 2005, the four-year (“on-time”) graduation rates range
      from 45% to 52%.
    * Two 8th grade factors gave students at least a 75% probability of
      dropping out of school: 1) attending school less than 80% of the
      time in 8th grade (that is, missing at least 5 weeks of school),
      and 2) receiving a failing final grade in mathematics and/or
      English during 8th grade.
    * A second group of dropouts, who were not classified as at-risk in
      8th grade according to our definition, were at-risk 9th graders.
      These students 1) attended less than 70% of the time during 9th
      grade, and/or 2) earned fewer than 2 credits during 9th grade,
      and/or 3) were not promoted to 10th grade on time

More (PDF)>> 
<http://www.projectuturn.net/downloads/pdf/Unfulfilled_Promise_Project_U-turn.pdf>

[Education/Dropouts] [October 2006]

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